Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $710,515$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{678,827.1}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 124.6)}}\) (asimptote \(678,827.1\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18,843$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,232.7}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 125.2)}}\) (asimptote \(18,232.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $49,112$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,122$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,563.9}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 196.5)}}\) (asimptote \(12,563.9\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $91$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{216.7}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 232.9)}}\) (asimptote \(216.7\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,091$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $52,620$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{68,116.3}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 184.6)}}\) (asimptote \(68,116.3\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $768$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,001.9}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 178.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,001.9\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,795$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $186,731$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{420,834.0}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 228.3)}}\) (asimptote \(420,834.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,132$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,881.3}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 210.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,881.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $29,118$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $45,892$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $740$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,120$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,522$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,346.0}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,346.0\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 58.8)}}\) (asimptote \(59.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $72$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $106,060$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102,132.1}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 97.6)}}\) (asimptote \(102,132.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,166$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,917.5}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 102.5)}}\) (asimptote \(5,917.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,270$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,074$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,238.0}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 108.9)}}\) (asimptote \(5,238.0\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85.3}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.6)}}\) (asimptote \(85.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $30$ on 2020-10-22